Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.065756 0.074195 0.082812 0.092238 0.102229 0.112477 0.123753
2025-08-24 0.049799 0.061870 0.074809 0.089570 0.105814 0.123030 0.142543
2025-08-31 0.039190 0.053186 0.068841 0.087330 0.108281 0.131029 0.157357
2025-09-07 0.033179 0.048651 0.066596 0.088386 0.113631 0.141538 0.174321
2025-09-14 0.028885 0.045506 0.065420 0.090180 0.119400 0.152164 0.191106
2025-09-21 0.026285 0.044074 0.065982 0.093749 0.126994 0.164685 0.209877
2025-09-28 0.023028 0.041405 0.064725 0.094885 0.131532 0.173537 0.224341
2025-10-05 0.022902 0.042835 0.068552 0.102171 0.143339 0.190793 0.248441
2025-10-12 0.019523 0.039439 0.065957 0.101323 0.145238 0.196373 0.258976
2025-10-19 0.017538 0.037807 0.065502 0.103022 0.150118 0.205376 0.273421
2025-10-26 0.015344 0.035627 0.064149 0.103447 0.153335 0.212334 0.285420
2025-11-02 0.013798 0.034272 0.063800 0.105075 0.157969 0.220931 0.299303
2025-11-09 0.011909 0.032269 0.062577 0.105684 0.161547 0.228548 0.312417
2025-11-16 0.009288 0.028670 0.058863 0.102841 0.160685 0.230754 0.319099
2025-11-23 0.007164 0.025558 0.055610 0.100428 0.160227 0.233346 0.326160
2025-11-30 0.006111 0.024289 0.055013 0.101569 0.164276 0.241419 0.339765
2025-12-07 0.005343 0.023464 0.055024 0.103506 0.169326 0.250708 0.354827
2025-12-14 0.005006 0.023520 0.056403 0.107355 0.176872 0.263095 0.373650
2025-12-21 0.004253 0.022488 0.055965 0.108580 0.180942 0.271145 0.387208
2025-12-28 0.004646 0.024255 0.060126 0.116421 0.193780 0.290162 0.414132
2026-01-04 0.003644 0.022402 0.058242 0.115508 0.194989 0.294626 0.423330
2026-01-11 0.003152 0.021734 0.058276 0.117335 0.199816 0.303609 0.438034
2026-01-18 0.002547 0.020581 0.057407 0.117792 0.202777 0.310225 0.449832